Publications

AFL, COST, PHM: Three Good Ones

November is seasonally the best month of the entire calendar year for stocks, so three bullish trades to take advantage…. Read More

MCD, MSFT: Feeding the Machine

Markets open the week navigating a prolonged U.S. government shutdown and a dense macro slate: S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Mon 9:45 a.m. ET) and ISM Manufacturing (Mon 10:00 a.m. ET) kick things off, followed by ADP employment (Wed 8:15 a.m. ET), S&P Global U.S. Services (Wed 9:45 a.m. ET), and ISM Services (Wed 10:00 a.m. ET). The Treasury’s Quarterly Refunding is also slated for Wednesday (time posted by Treasury; prior quarter’s materials hit around midday ET), while the Employment Situation report is Friday 8:30 a.m. ET—with publication subject to the shutdown and schedule changes. Net-net, the tone starts cautiously constructive: large-cap tech and cyclicals still lean on AI-driven capex and year-end liquidity dynamics, but persistent headline risk from the shutdown and data-timing uncertainty argues for disciplined sizing and clearly defined risk into Friday’s jobs print. (Note: dates/times are subject to change — always verify.)… Read More

EEM, QQQ RTX, WDC: Stubborn Securities

Four rolls on positions that have tricked us on Halloween. More time will turn these tricksters into treats…. Read More

ADP, AMP, CALM, POOL, SYY: Halloween Rolls

Five spooky rolls to end the month of October…. Read More

MS, MSCI: Bank Index

With the Federal Reserve in rate-cutting mode, financial stocks of all stripes should outperform into the new year…. Read More

COF, CRDO, SCHW: Cruddy Cough

With the S&P 500 up six straight months and the Nasdaq up seven straight months, positive momentum and seasonality are both so strong that the last two months of the year should be up as well…. Read More

IWM: No Bears Allowed Part 2

All stocks are going up despite bearish October seasonality, so a roll from bearish to neutral is required…. Read More

SPX: Mauled Bear Roll Part 2

Almost unprecedented stock market strength in the September/October period necessitates a roll higher in our SPX iron condor…. Read More

BLK, CME: Futures of Fortune

Heading into the week, U.S. equity markets are on a bullish footing, with major indexes near (or at) fresh record highs and September inflation (CPI +3.0 % y/y) coming in marginally below consensus (~3.1 %), reinforcing hopes of a Fed rate cut. Technicals remain constructive — the S&P 500 is holding key support zones — but underlying internals (breadth and momentum) are showing early signs of strain, which raises the risk of increased volatility. Key catalysts to watch include upcoming inflation prints (CPI, PCE), Fed commentary, and earnings from major tech leaders. The overall tone is cautiously bullish: bias remains favorable for upside, yet traders should stay alert for reversal or consolidation signals…. Read More

SPX: The Highs Keep Coming

One roll this Friday afternoon. As of now it looks like Tesla (TSLA) will expire for a profit, however, I will be watching closely to ensure TSLA does not rise above our short strike. If it’s close, we could have a last minute alert. So, be ready just in case. Have a great weekend!… Read More