Publications

EFX, TSLA: Bear Scat Rolls

With the stock market excited about a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, these two bearish/neutral positions need to be rolled higher…. Read More

FANG, MSFT: Oily Outlook

Interest rate cuts start next week at the Federal Reserve and both the energy and software sectors tend to outperform in low-rate environments, provided that the U.S. economy remains in growth mode…. Read More

SPX: 0DTE Volatility Trade

Iron Condor on S&P 500 Index Security Root Symbol: SPX Expiration Date: Tuesday, September 9th Strategy Overview: Buy to Open: $6410 Put Sell to Open: $6480 Put Buy to Open: $6580 Call Sell to Open: $6510 Call Option Symbols: SPXW250909P6410 and SPXW250909P6480 and SPXW250909C6510 and SPXW250909C6580 Order Details: Limit Order Price: Net credit of $12.00 […]… Read More

MSCI, TSLA: Auto Indexing

Bearish September seasonality combined with bullish anticipation over a Federal Reserve rate cut combine to create uncertainty, leading me to hedge my bets with both bullish and bearish trade ideas…. Read More

ARES, MELI, CTEV: Bearish Business Blackout

Into the week, markets face key macro prints with U.S. PPI (Wed, Sept 10, 8:30 a.m. ET) and CPI for August (Thu, Sept 11, 8:30 a.m. ET), which will reset rate-cut odds ahead of the Sept 16–17 FOMC; Friday’s jobs report showed just +22k payrolls and 4.3% unemployment, keeping cuts in play. The ECB holds its policy meeting Sept 10–11 with a decision/press conference Thursday. Corporate catalysts include Oracle (Tue, Sept 9 after close), GameStop (Tue, Sept 9 after close) and Adobe (Thu, Sept 11 after close), while Apple’s iPhone event lands Tue, Sept 9; preliminary University of Michigan sentiment follows Fri, Sept 12 (10 a.m. ET). Expect rate-sensitive sectors to swing around the Wed–Thu data window and sentiment to color Friday’s close…. Read More

AIG, EFX, SPX: Mostly Bearish

With historically bearish months of September and October straight ahead, it makes sense to add some bearish hedges, but the Federal Reserve’s likely rate cut on September 17th may keep the bears away…. Read More

SPX: 0DTE Volatility Trade

Iron Condor on S&P 500 Index Security Root Symbol: SPX Expiration Date: Wednesday, September 3rd Strategy Overview: Buy to Open: $6350 Put Sell to Open: $6420 Put Buy to Open: $6515 Call Sell to Open: $6445 Call Option Symbols: SPXW250903P6350 and SPXW250903P6420 and SPXW250903C6445 and SPXW250903C6515 Order Details: Limit Order Price: Net credit of $14.50 […]… Read More

AIG, SPX: Losses Denied

This holiday‑shortened week is poised to be eventful despite muted volumes. The U.S. economy will be in focus, with Tuesday’s ISM data, midweek JOLTS, ADP, and jobless claims, leading up to Friday’s pivotal August non‑farm payrolls—likely Eastman of market direction and Fed expectations. Meanwhile, corporate earnings from tech and AI leaders—Broadcom, Salesforce, Zscaler, Lululemon, Credo, Nio, among others—will shape sentiments around innovation and retail performance. Notably, hedge funds remain cautious heading into September, pointing to seasonal fragility, elevated valuations, and high retail equity exposure that could amplify sell‑offs. Still, some analysts argue recent strength and the expectation of a Fed rate cut may defy September’s historically weak pattern—particularly if data tilts dovish…. Read More

HLT, SYK: Hotels and Surgery

Although odds favor a down September for stocks, most of the damage typically occurs in the second half of the month. Betting on some bullish strength in the first half from travel and medical device stocks…. Read More

BSX, CMG, PG: End of August Rolls

Three rolls and two expiring winners: NTAP (100.0%) and AKAM (92.3%)… Read More